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27 Jun 2024

Gold price flat lines around $2,300 as traders await crucial US PCE Price Index on Friday

Technical Analysis: Gold price manages to hold above $2,285 support, not out of the woods yet
From a technical perspective, the recent failure to build on the momentum beyond the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the subsequent downfall favors bearish traders. Moreover, the overnight breakdown through a short-term ascending trend-line support near the $2,314 area validates the near-term negative outlook. Given that oscillators on the daily chart have been gaining negative traction, some follow-through selling below the $2,285 horizontal support has the potential to drag the Gold price to the 100-day SMA support near the $2,250 area. The downward trajectory could extend further towards the $2,225-2,220 region before the XAU/USD eventually drops to the $2,200 round-figure mark.

On the flip side, any attempted recovery now seems to face resistance near the $2,314-2,315 support breakpoint. A sustained strength beyond might trigger a short-covering rally, though is likely to remain capped near the 50-day SMA, currently pegged near the $2,338-2,340 region. The subsequent move-up could lift the Gold price back to the $2,360-2,365 supply zone, which, if cleared decisively, will negate any near-term negative bias. Bullish traders might then aim to reclaim the $2,400 round-figure mark and challenge the all-time peak, around the $2,450 area touched in May.
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